Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Reichel wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reichel 41.6% vs Roy 48.4% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reichel 65.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 56.2%
Neutral zone
Reichel 52.7%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Reichel
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Reichel
Roy
Last 7: Reichel 3-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Reichel
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reichel
2
1
Reichel
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Reichel
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reichel
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (668)
48.7% (3,719)
-8.6%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
49.5% (283)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (6)
45.5% (477)
-45.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Reichel is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Reichel shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Reichel
Roy
Home
41.2% (410)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
39.4% (320)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Reichel
Roy
P1
41.9%
50.8%
P2
36.3%
46.3%
P3
42.8%
48.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 02:06 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 04:56 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:06 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |