Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Reichel wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reichel 41.6% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Reichel 95.8%
Defensive zone
Reichel 81.0%
Neutral zone
Reichel 87.9%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Reichel
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Reichel
Kuraly
Last 10: Reichel 2-8 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reichel
1
0
Reichel
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Reichel
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
6
Reichel
Kuraly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reichel
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (668)
51.5% (5,141)
-11.4%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
56.0% (100)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (6)
44.2% (1,086)
-44.2%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Reichel is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Reichel shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Reichel
Kuraly
Home
41.2% (410)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
39.4% (320)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Reichel
Kuraly
P1
41.9%
51.1%
P2
36.3%
49.9%
P3
42.8%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
36.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 05:35 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Lukas Reichel |