Scouting Report
Lukas Reichel holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Reichel wins 39.4% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reichel 42.1% vs Smith 41.4% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 72.2%
Defensive zone
Reichel 74.0%
Neutral zone
Reichel 50.2%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Reichel
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Reichel
Smith
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Reichel
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reichel
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (327)
33.3% (153)
+5.8%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
56.5% (23)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Reichel is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Reichel shoots left. Smith is 38.0% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Reichel
Smith
Home
43.7% (206)
35.1% (111)
Away
34.7% (150)
38.8% (67)
By Period
Reichel
Smith
P1
35.5%
41.5%
P2
39.5%
32.8%
P3
46.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
35.6%
36.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.9%
Smith
40.0%▲
36.5%
36.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Will Smith |