Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Reichel wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reichel 45.6% vs Johnston 50.1% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reichel 72.2%
Defensive zone
Johnston 60.7%
Neutral zone
Reichel 52.6%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Reichel
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Reichel
Johnston
Last 5: Reichel 2-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
3
Reichel
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reichel
2
0
Reichel
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reichel
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (170)
50.7% (552)
-7.2%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
61.5% (13)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
43.5% (69)
-43.5%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +43.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Reichel is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Reichel shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Reichel
Johnston
Home
45.7% (81)
50.3% (342)
Away
41.9% (117)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Reichel
Johnston
P1
48.4%
54.4%
P2
34.3%
47.2%
P3
46.9%
49.4%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
43.4%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 17:16 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 29, 2023 | OT | 03:49 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |