Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedlak 50.7% vs Duchene 54.1% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sedlak 59.3%
Defensive zone
Sedlak 85.3%
Neutral zone
Sedlak 70.3%
Result
Lukas Sedlak favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Sedlak
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Sedlak
Duchene
Last 5: Sedlak 0-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Sedlak
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Sedlak
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedlak
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (998)
53.9% (10,396)
-2.8%
Power Play
56.5% (23)
56.9% (1,665)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (70)
49.1% (468)
-4.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Sedlak is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (743).
Sedlak shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Sedlak
Duchene
Home
51.9% (557)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
49.6% (534)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Sedlak
Duchene
P1
51.9%
54.5%
P2
48.8%
54.5%
P3
52.0%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedlak
44.0%▼
45.5%
50.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |