Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Adam on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 49.6% vs Adam 45.7% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Adam 68.6%
Defensive zone
Adam 65.4%
Neutral zone
Adam 70.2%
Result
Luke Adam favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Little
Adam
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Little
Adam
Last 6: Little 1-5 Adam
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adam
0
1
Little
Adam
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adam
0
1
Little
Adam
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adam
1
3
Little
Adam
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Adam
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (1,089)
43.3% (233)
+6.5%
Power Play
51.4% (218)
48.0% (25)
+3.4%
On even strength, Little has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Adam shoots left. Little is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (985).
Little shoots right. Adam is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Little
Adam
Home
52.9% (681)
47.6% (126)
Away
46.7% (798)
40.6% (133)
By Period
Little
Adam
P1
49.9%
47.8%
P2
49.2%
35.8%
P3
49.7%
47.7%
Final 5 min
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
49.6%
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Luke Adam |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 12:46 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Luke Adam |