Scouting Report
Mike Richards holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Adam on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Adam wins 38.6% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adam 42.8% vs Richards 50.5% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Adam leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 68.7%
Defensive zone
Richards 78.4%
Neutral zone
Richards 74.1%
Result
Mike Richards favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Adam
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Adam
Richards
Last 10: Adam 6-4 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adam
3
2
Adam
Richards
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adam
2
0
Adam
Richards
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
3
Adam
Richards
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adam
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (377)
50.0% (3,722)
-9.7%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
54.6% (445)
-4.6%
On even strength, Richards has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Adam is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Adam shoots left. Richards is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,122).
Home / Away
Adam
Richards
Home
44.9% (187)
50.8% (2,363)
Away
37.6% (218)
50.3% (2,336)
By Period
Adam
Richards
P1
42.1%
49.6%
P2
37.9%
52.3%
P3
43.2%
49.3%
OT
0.0%
58.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
41.0%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 13:51 | Defensive | Luke Adam |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 07:06 | Defensive | Luke Adam |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:11 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 3 | 13:56 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Mike Richards |