Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adam 45.7% vs Stamkos 45.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 57.6%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 54.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 53.1%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Adam
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Adam
Stamkos
Last 7: Adam 4-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adam
1
0
Adam
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Adam
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adam
2
1
Adam
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adam
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (233)
45.6% (1,055)
-2.3%
Power Play
48.0% (25)
46.6% (116)
+1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Adam is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Adam shoots left. Stamkos is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (890).
Home / Away
Adam
Stamkos
Home
47.6% (126)
48.4% (636)
Away
40.6% (133)
42.3% (591)
By Period
Adam
Stamkos
P1
47.8%
45.7%
P2
35.8%
46.8%
P3
47.7%
43.7%
Final 5 min
44.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Luke Adam |