Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Adam wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adam 42.8% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 75.8%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 68.2%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 71.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Adam
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Adam
Stamkos
Last 7: Adam 4-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adam
1
0
Adam
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
Adam
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adam
2
1
Adam
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adam
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (377)
50.4% (9,799)
-10.1%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
55.1% (1,725)
-5.1%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Adam is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Adam shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Adam
Stamkos
Home
44.9% (187)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
37.6% (218)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Adam
Stamkos
P1
42.1%
49.1%
P2
37.9%
52.7%
P3
43.2%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
54.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
41.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 08:16 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Luke Adam |