Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Adam on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Adam wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adam 45.7% vs Smith 49.0% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Adam 68.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 71.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 52.6%
Result
Luke Adam favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Adam
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Adam
Smith
Last 8: Adam 4-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adam
2
1
Adam
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Adam
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Adam
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adam
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (233)
48.0% (761)
-4.7%
Power Play
48.0% (25)
70.4% (27)
-22.4%
On power play, Smith has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Adam is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Adam shoots left. Smith is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Adam
Smith
Home
47.6% (126)
49.9% (523)
Away
40.6% (133)
47.8% (467)
By Period
Adam
Smith
P1
47.8%
47.5%
P2
35.8%
50.4%
P3
47.7%
48.4%
Final 5 min
44.7%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2011 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 00:44 | Defensive | Luke Adam |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 19:10 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |