Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Adam on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Adam wins 38.6% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adam 42.8% vs Smith 50.6% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Adam 64.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 70.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 54.5%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Adam
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Adam
Smith
Last 8: Adam 4-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adam
2
1
Adam
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Adam
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Adam
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adam
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
40.3% (377)
51.6% (5,265)
-11.3%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
51.2% (342)
-1.2%
On even strength, Smith has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Adam is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Adam shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Adam
Smith
Home
44.9% (187)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
37.6% (218)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Adam
Smith
P1
42.1%
49.9%
P2
37.9%
50.0%
P3
43.2%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
41.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2011 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 00:44 | Defensive | Luke Adam |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 19:10 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |