Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Glendening wins 60.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.4% vs Kastelic 53.5% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 58.4%
Defensive zone
Glendening 88.5%
Neutral zone
Glendening 72.8%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Glendening
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Glendening
Kastelic
Last 6: Glendening 5-1 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
3
0
Glendening
Kastelic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
1
0
Glendening
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Glendening
Kastelic
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (725)
53.4% (337)
+4.9%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
100.0% (4)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (215)
75.0% (8)
-26.6%
On power play, Kastelic has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Glendening is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Glendening shoots right. Kastelic is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Glendening
Kastelic
Home
55.4% (469)
56.2% (162)
Away
56.6% (479)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Glendening
Kastelic
P1
53.5%
58.2%
P2
57.0%
58.8%
P3
58.0%
45.4%
Final 5 min
59.2%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:36 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |