Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (59.0% vs 59.2%). Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Glendening wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 57.8% vs Johansen 58.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 80.4%
Defensive zone
Glendening 81.0%
Neutral zone
Johansen 51.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Glendening
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Glendening
Johansen
Last 5: Glendening 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Glendening
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Glendening
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (428)
59.8% (625)
+0.7%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
58.2% (196)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (174)
51.9% (27)
+3.3%
On power play, Glendening has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Glendening is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Glendening shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Glendening
Johansen
Home
59.0% (293)
60.3% (436)
Away
59.0% (315)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Glendening
Johansen
P1
61.5%
61.3%
P2
59.1%
60.4%
P3
56.3%
56.0%
OT
66.7%
56.3%
Final 5 min
66.9%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
59.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 17:44 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |