Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Glendening wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.6% vs Koivu 51.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 76.3%
Defensive zone
Glendening 62.7%
Neutral zone
Koivu 62.6%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Glendening
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Glendening
Koivu
Last 7: Glendening 2-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Glendening
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Glendening
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Glendening
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (7,770)
51.9% (3,221)
+6.0%
Power Play
56.4% (195)
59.3% (437)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (2,498)
48.0% (764)
+0.6%
On even strength, Glendening has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Glendening is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,244).
Glendening shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Home / Away
Glendening
Koivu
Home
55.4% (5,255)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
55.9% (5,208)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Glendening
Koivu
P1
56.1%
51.1%
P2
54.5%
52.6%
P3
56.5%
51.8%
OT
48.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
55.6%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |