Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Glendening wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 56.3% vs Carrick 53.7% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Glendening 58.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 53.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 53.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Glendening
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Glendening
Carrick
Last 7: Glendening 3-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Glendening
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Glendening
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Glendening
Carrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (703)
53.8% (654)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
0.0% (2)
+57.9%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (159)
63.9% (36)
-14.2%
On power play, Glendening has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Glendening is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (217).
Glendening shoots right. Carrick is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Glendening
Carrick
Home
54.3% (468)
50.0% (328)
Away
60.0% (413)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Glendening
Carrick
P1
58.2%
56.7%
P2
57.6%
51.1%
P3
56.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
60.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |