Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Glendening on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Glendening wins 60.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.4% vs Lafferty 43.9% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 50.5%
Defensive zone
Glendening 82.9%
Neutral zone
Glendening 74.6%
Result
Luke Glendening favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Glendening
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Glendening
Lafferty
Last 7: Glendening 4-3 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Glendening
Lafferty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Glendening
3
2
Glendening
Lafferty
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (725)
42.6% (324)
+15.7%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
31.3% (16)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (215)
43.8% (16)
+4.6%
On power play, Glendening has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Glendening is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Glendening shoots right. Lafferty is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Glendening
Lafferty
Home
55.4% (469)
40.9% (181)
Away
56.6% (479)
43.4% (175)
By Period
Glendening
Lafferty
P1
53.5%
42.2%
P2
57.0%
36.4%
P3
58.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
59.2%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:26 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |