Scouting Report
Luke Glendening holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Glendening wins 60.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Glendening 55.4% vs Thompson 44.0% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 87.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 66.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 82.1%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 79.3%
20.7%
79.3%
Glendening
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Glendening
Thompson
Last 5: Glendening 1-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Glendening
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Glendening
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Glendening
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (725)
44.6% (709)
+13.7%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
41.5% (53)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (215)
35.1% (97)
+13.3%
On even strength, Glendening has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Glendening is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Glendening shoots right. Thompson is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Glendening
Thompson
Home
55.4% (469)
45.5% (426)
Away
56.6% (479)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Glendening
Thompson
P1
53.5%
48.5%
P2
57.0%
43.8%
P3
58.0%
38.1%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.2%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 06:37 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 15:59 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |