Scouting Report
Luke Johnson holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 49.5% vs Matthias 46.6% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone
Matthias 55.5%
Defensive zone
Matthias 50.2%
Neutral zone
Matthias 57.3%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Johnson
Matthias
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (202)
46.4% (1,716)
+4.6%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
56.3% (103)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (20)
41.7% (175)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Matthias has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Johnson is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Johnson shoots right. Matthias is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Johnson
Matthias
Home
53.7% (67)
46.9% (933)
Away
47.5% (158)
45.9% (1,069)
By Period
Johnson
Matthias
P1
53.8%
47.8%
P2
53.8%
49.4%
P3
39.1%
41.6%
Final 5 min
42.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%