Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Johnson wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 49.5% vs Bozak 53.4% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 61.6%
Defensive zone
Johnson 62.6%
Neutral zone
Bozak 56.0%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Johnson
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Johnson
Bozak
Last 6: Johnson 3-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Johnson
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
0
Johnson
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Johnson
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (202)
53.7% (9,596)
-2.7%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
55.2% (1,990)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (20)
48.0% (1,094)
-18.0%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Johnson is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Johnson shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Johnson
Bozak
Home
53.7% (67)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
47.5% (158)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Johnson
Bozak
P1
53.8%
53.2%
P2
53.8%
52.8%
P3
39.1%
54.5%
Final 5 min
42.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 14, 2018 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Luke Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 16:59 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 18:50 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 03:47 | Neutral | Luke Johnson |