Scouting Report
Luke Johnson holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Johnson wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dalpe shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johnson 49.5% vs Dalpe 47.0% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone
Dalpe 58.0%
Defensive zone
Johnson 55.2%
Neutral zone
Dalpe 56.1%
Result
Zac Dalpe favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Johnson
Dalpe
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johnson
Dalpe
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (202)
46.3% (458)
+4.7%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
65.0% (20)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (20)
25.0% (12)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dalpe shoots right. Johnson is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Johnson shoots right. Dalpe is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Johnson
Dalpe
Home
53.7% (67)
45.8% (238)
Away
47.5% (158)
47.0% (253)
By Period
Johnson
Dalpe
P1
53.8%
44.6%
P2
53.8%
50.6%
P3
39.1%
43.6%
Final 5 min
42.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johnson
42.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Dalpe
60.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%