Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.0% vs Kunin 46.4% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 84.8%
Defensive zone
Kunin 66.5%
Neutral zone
Kunin 72.4%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Evans
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Evans
Kunin
Last 5: Evans 1-4 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Kunin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
0
3
Evans
Kunin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (807)
48.9% (366)
+5.5%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
34.6% (26)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (310)
35.2% (88)
+10.9%
On power play, Evans has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Evans shoots right. Kunin is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Evans
Kunin
Home
53.7% (581)
45.7% (245)
Away
50.5% (556)
45.5% (235)
By Period
Evans
Kunin
P1
54.6%
46.5%
P2
50.0%
45.0%
P3
52.3%
44.9%
OT
46.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |