Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Kunin wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.1% vs McCarron 52.7% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kunin 84.0%
Defensive zone
Kunin 66.8%
Neutral zone
Kunin 70.2%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Kunin
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Kunin
McCarron
Last 10: Kunin 3-7 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Kunin
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
5
Kunin
McCarron
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (1,622)
53.4% (2,901)
-6.3%
Power Play
46.4% (138)
45.3% (86)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (333)
50.5% (463)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Kunin is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Kunin shoots right. McCarron is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,047).
Home / Away
Kunin
McCarron
Home
45.5% (1,048)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
46.4% (1,045)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Kunin
McCarron
P1
47.9%
53.9%
P2
45.7%
52.5%
P3
43.9%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
46.0%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 13:54 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 06:36 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |