Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Kunin wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 51.1% vs Backlund 49.7% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 65.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 74.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.3%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Kunin
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kunin
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Kunin
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (260)
50.1% (891)
+2.6%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
53.1% (64)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (55)
47.8% (278)
-4.2%
On power play, Kunin has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kunin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kunin shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Kunin
Backlund
Home
51.7% (151)
48.1% (580)
Away
51.2% (172)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Kunin
Backlund
P1
55.1%
45.1%
P2
55.3%
54.7%
P3
43.1%
49.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |