Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kunin wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.1% vs Backlund 49.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Kunin 70.9%
Defensive zone
Kunin 69.3%
Neutral zone
Kunin 71.4%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Kunin
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
14
(19 meetings)
5
14
Kunin
Backlund
Last 10: Kunin 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
5
Kunin
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
7
Kunin
Backlund
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kunin
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (1,622)
49.7% (13,410)
-2.6%
Power Play
46.4% (138)
51.6% (1,336)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (333)
44.0% (2,446)
-3.8%
On power play, Backlund has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kunin is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,511).
Kunin shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Home / Away
Kunin
Backlund
Home
45.5% (1,048)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
46.4% (1,045)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Kunin
Backlund
P1
47.9%
48.5%
P2
45.7%
50.3%
P3
43.9%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
42.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
46.0%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 09:49 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 16:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 10:11 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 10:30 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 04:13 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |