Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Kunin wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 51.1% vs Monahan 52.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 85.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 58.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 67.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Kunin
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Kunin
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
2
0
Kunin
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (260)
53.2% (823)
-0.5%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
55.3% (159)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (55)
48.4% (95)
-4.8%
On power play, Kunin has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kunin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kunin shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Kunin
Monahan
Home
51.7% (151)
54.6% (529)
Away
51.2% (172)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Kunin
Monahan
P1
55.1%
49.0%
P2
55.3%
55.4%
P3
43.1%
53.6%
Final 5 min
53.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 02:25 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |