Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Kunin wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 51.1% vs Aho 50.0% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 78.7%
Defensive zone
Kunin 71.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 50.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 78.7%
21.3%
78.7%
Kunin
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kunin
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Kunin
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (260)
49.9% (851)
+2.8%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
53.5% (144)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (55)
43.3% (60)
+0.3%
On power play, Kunin has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kunin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kunin shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Kunin
Aho
Home
51.7% (151)
53.2% (554)
Away
51.2% (172)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Kunin
Aho
P1
55.1%
49.1%
P2
55.3%
50.8%
P3
43.1%
49.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 10:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |