Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Kunin wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 45.9% vs Aho 51.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kunin 60.0%
Defensive zone
Kunin 90.3%
Neutral zone
Kunin 74.7%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Kunin
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Kunin
Aho
Last 10: Kunin 2-8 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
5
Kunin
Aho
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
2
1
Kunin
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Kunin
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (1,563)
50.1% (6,415)
-3.3%
Power Play
46.4% (138)
59.1% (1,297)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (318)
46.0% (446)
-5.7%
On power play, Aho has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kunin is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,447).
Kunin shoots right. Aho is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,013).
Home / Away
Kunin
Aho
Home
45.5% (1,018)
52.4% (4,199)
Away
46.0% (1,001)
50.2% (3,959)
By Period
Kunin
Aho
P1
47.4%
51.2%
P2
45.3%
52.1%
P3
44.1%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
42.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
42.0%▼
52.5%
45.7%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 10:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 18:51 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |