Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Kunin wins 39.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 51.1% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 87.7%
Defensive zone
Kunin 61.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 62.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Kunin
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kunin
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (260)
56.1% (342)
-3.4%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
53.3% (92)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (55)
62.5% (8)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kunin is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Kunin shoots right. Stamkos is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Kunin
Stamkos
Home
51.7% (151)
53.4% (208)
Away
51.2% (172)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Kunin
Stamkos
P1
55.1%
55.6%
P2
55.3%
52.8%
P3
43.1%
59.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |