Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kunin wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 51.1% vs Kozak 49.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Kunin leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kunin 62.1%
Defensive zone
Kozak 50.9%
Neutral zone
Kunin 60.2%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Kunin
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Kunin
Kozak
Last 10: Kunin 7-3 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
5
1
Kunin
Kozak
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
1
2
Kunin
Kozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
3
0
Kunin
Kozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (260)
49.3% (294)
+3.4%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
60.0% (5)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (55)
50.0% (40)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Kozak has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Kunin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kunin shoots right. Kozak is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Kunin
Kozak
Home
51.7% (151)
45.5% (145)
Away
51.2% (172)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Kunin
Kozak
P1
55.1%
53.4%
P2
55.3%
50.0%
P3
43.1%
44.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 02:54 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 01:35 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |