Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kunin wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.1% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 72.8%
Defensive zone
Kunin 77.5%
Neutral zone
Kunin 74.9%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Kunin
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kunin
Karlsson
Last 7: Kunin 2-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Kunin
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kunin
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Kunin
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (1,622)
51.8% (7,849)
-4.7%
Power Play
46.4% (138)
54.8% (1,048)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (333)
44.2% (1,109)
-4.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kunin is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,511).
Kunin shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Kunin
Karlsson
Home
45.5% (1,048)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
46.4% (1,045)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Kunin
Karlsson
P1
47.9%
50.3%
P2
45.7%
51.3%
P3
43.9%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
42.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
46.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | William Karlsson |