Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Kunin wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 51.1% vs Gourde 46.0% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 62.9%
Defensive zone
Kunin 54.1%
Neutral zone
Kunin 55.2%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Kunin
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kunin
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (260)
47.2% (654)
+5.5%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
45.0% (20)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (55)
32.2% (87)
+11.4%
On power play, Kunin has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kunin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kunin shoots right. Gourde is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Kunin
Gourde
Home
51.7% (151)
44.1% (322)
Away
51.2% (172)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Kunin
Gourde
P1
55.1%
42.4%
P2
55.3%
49.8%
P3
43.1%
44.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |