Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Kunin wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 51.1% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 60.7%
Defensive zone
Kunin 51.3%
Neutral zone
Kunin 61.1%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Kunin
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kunin
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (260)
43.2% (146)
+9.5%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
50.0% (2)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (55)
44.8% (29)
-1.2%
On power play, Kunin has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Kunin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kunin shoots right. Girgensons is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Kunin
Girgensons
Home
51.7% (151)
40.3% (72)
Away
51.2% (172)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Kunin
Girgensons
P1
55.1%
43.8%
P2
55.3%
44.6%
P3
43.1%
42.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |