Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Celebrini 48.4% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 58.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 90.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 79.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Lowry
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Lowry
Celebrini
Last 9: Lowry 8-1 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Celebrini
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Celebrini
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
0
Lowry
Celebrini
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
47.2% (901)
+6.5%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
54.7% (139)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
54.5% (11)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Home / Away
Lowry
Celebrini
Home
53.0% (583)
47.6% (553)
Away
50.6% (605)
49.0% (498)
By Period
Lowry
Celebrini
P1
52.1%
46.6%
P2
51.8%
46.4%
P3
52.3%
51.8%
OT
25.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
53.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2025 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |