Alex Turcotte vs Macklin Celebrini
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Turcotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 53.2% vs Celebrini 48.9% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 64.8%
Defensive zone
Turcotte 69.1%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 64.7%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Turcotte
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Turcotte
Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
1
0
Turcotte
Celebrini
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turcotte
1
0
Turcotte
Celebrini
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (460)
48.2% (924)
+5.3%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
52.8% (108)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
56.0% (25)
+44.0%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Turcotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Turcotte shoots left. Celebrini is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Celebrini
Home
53.2% (263)
47.8% (523)
Away
54.8% (208)
49.8% (534)
By Period
Turcotte
Celebrini
P1
57.0%
47.8%
P2
59.6%
47.4%
P3
44.1%
51.1%
Final 5 min
52.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
38.0%▼
52.5%
53.9%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |