Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.9% vs Rossi 50.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 58.0%
Defensive zone
Rossi 68.2%
Neutral zone
Rossi 64.3%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Celebrini
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Celebrini
Rossi
Last 9: Celebrini 6-3 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
0
Celebrini
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
2
1
Celebrini
Rossi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
3
2
Celebrini
Rossi
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (924)
52.8% (400)
-4.6%
Power Play
52.8% (108)
36.1% (36)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
37.0% (27)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Celebrini is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Celebrini shoots left. Rossi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Rossi
Home
47.8% (523)
50.0% (242)
Away
49.8% (534)
51.1% (221)
By Period
Celebrini
Rossi
P1
47.8%
54.9%
P2
47.4%
48.7%
P3
51.1%
47.9%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.8%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |