Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.4% vs Rossi 47.1% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 53.0%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 53.8%
Neutral zone
Rossi 55.7%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Celebrini
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Celebrini
Rossi
Last 5: Celebrini 3-2 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Celebrini
Rossi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
4
1
Celebrini
Rossi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Celebrini
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (901)
46.5% (879)
+0.7%
Power Play
54.7% (139)
48.6% (105)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
50.0% (8)
+4.5%
On power play, Celebrini has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Celebrini shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Rossi
Home
47.6% (553)
47.5% (520)
Away
49.0% (498)
46.0% (472)
By Period
Celebrini
Rossi
P1
46.6%
47.8%
P2
46.4%
44.2%
P3
51.8%
48.7%
OT
41.7%
45.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:40 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 04:32 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |