Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.6% vs Domi 48.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 58.5%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 58.8%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 58.8%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Celebrini
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Celebrini
Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
2
Celebrini
Domi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
0
1
Celebrini
Domi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,825)
48.1% (4,296)
-0.4%
Power Play
53.8% (247)
53.4% (633)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (36)
48.8% (41)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Celebrini is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,444).
Celebrini shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Domi
Home
47.7% (1,076)
49.7% (2,604)
Away
49.4% (1,032)
47.8% (2,366)
By Period
Celebrini
Domi
P1
47.2%
48.7%
P2
46.9%
48.3%
P3
51.5%
49.8%
OT
47.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.5%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:35 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Max Domi |