Macklin Celebrini vs Mitch Marner
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Celebrini wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.6% vs Marner 43.1% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 75.7%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 70.6%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 76.9%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Celebrini
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Celebrini
Marner
Last 9: Celebrini 6-3 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
0
Celebrini
Marner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marner
1
2
Celebrini
Marner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
4
1
Celebrini
Marner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,825)
42.2% (462)
+5.5%
Power Play
53.8% (247)
55.6% (18)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (36)
35.4% (65)
+20.2%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Celebrini is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (664).
Celebrini shoots left. Marner is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Marner
Home
47.7% (1,076)
38.2% (293)
Away
49.4% (1,032)
46.0% (252)
By Period
Celebrini
Marner
P1
47.2%
39.1%
P2
46.9%
41.1%
P3
51.5%
47.1%
OT
47.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.5%
Marner
48.0%▲
40.0%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 12:25 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 11:41 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Neutral | Mitch Marner |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |