Macklin Celebrini vs Morgan Frost
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.7% vs Frost 56.2% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 88.7%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 83.9%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 83.5%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 86.4%
86.4%
13.6%
Celebrini
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
10
(11 meetings)
1
10
Celebrini
Frost
Last 10: Celebrini 1-9 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
5
Celebrini
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Celebrini
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
3
Celebrini
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,139)
55.5% (848)
-7.8%
Power Play
55.5% (119)
60.6% (198)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
59.3% (27)
83.3% (12)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Celebrini is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Celebrini shoots left. Frost is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (712).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Frost
Home
49.1% (645)
57.2% (544)
Away
48.1% (640)
56.4% (514)
By Period
Celebrini
Frost
P1
47.4%
59.5%
P2
46.9%
57.1%
P3
51.7%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
46.0%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
42.0%▼
49.5%
48.6%
Frost
58.0%▬
59.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 16:46 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |