Macklin Celebrini vs Morgan Frost
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.9% vs Frost 55.7% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 87.1%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 84.5%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 82.1%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 85.3%
85.3%
14.7%
Celebrini
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
10
(11 meetings)
1
10
Celebrini
Frost
Last 10: Celebrini 1-9 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
5
Celebrini
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Celebrini
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
3
Celebrini
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (924)
54.9% (701)
-6.7%
Power Play
52.8% (108)
60.8% (166)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
100.0% (5)
-44.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Celebrini is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Celebrini shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Frost
Home
47.8% (523)
56.0% (443)
Away
49.8% (534)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Celebrini
Frost
P1
47.8%
58.9%
P2
47.4%
55.3%
P3
51.1%
54.0%
OT
57.1%
70.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 16:46 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |