Macklin Celebrini vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.6% vs Frost 50.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 58.9%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 71.1%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 64.2%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Celebrini
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Celebrini
Frost
Last 10: Celebrini 1-9 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
5
Celebrini
Frost
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
3
2
Celebrini
Frost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
1
3
Celebrini
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,825)
49.4% (3,598)
-1.7%
Power Play
53.8% (247)
55.5% (625)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (36)
52.8% (36)
+2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Celebrini is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,444).
Celebrini shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Frost
Home
47.7% (1,076)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
49.4% (1,032)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Celebrini
Frost
P1
47.2%
50.8%
P2
46.9%
51.1%
P3
51.5%
48.5%
OT
47.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.5%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 16:46 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |