Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.4% vs Kadri 46.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 58.3%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 51.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 55.9%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Celebrini
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Celebrini
Kadri
Last 10: Celebrini 4-6 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
4
3
Celebrini
Kadri
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
2
1
Celebrini
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
4
Celebrini
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (901)
45.7% (1,295)
+1.5%
Power Play
54.7% (139)
52.7% (146)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
34.8% (23)
+19.7%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Celebrini shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Kadri
Home
47.6% (553)
46.5% (725)
Away
49.0% (498)
46.0% (739)
By Period
Celebrini
Kadri
P1
46.6%
47.2%
P2
46.4%
44.9%
P3
51.8%
46.3%
OT
41.7%
51.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 12:39 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |