Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.9% vs Suzuki 50.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 54.8%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 59.6%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 55.3%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Celebrini
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Celebrini
Suzuki
Last 10: Celebrini 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Celebrini
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
Celebrini
Suzuki
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
4
2
Celebrini
Suzuki
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (924)
51.3% (904)
-3.1%
Power Play
52.8% (108)
49.8% (265)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
36.8% (57)
+19.2%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Celebrini is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Celebrini shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Suzuki
Home
47.8% (523)
50.6% (603)
Away
49.8% (534)
50.1% (623)
By Period
Celebrini
Suzuki
P1
47.8%
52.3%
P2
47.4%
47.5%
P3
51.1%
51.1%
OT
57.1%
48.6%
Final 5 min
45.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.8%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 17:38 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |