Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Celebrini wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.4% vs Suzuki 51.5% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Celebrini leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 84.2%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 61.2%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 79.6%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 76.2%
23.8%
76.2%
Celebrini
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Celebrini
Suzuki
Last 10: Celebrini 5-5 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
5
1
Celebrini
Suzuki
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
Celebrini
Suzuki
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
6
2
Celebrini
Suzuki
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (901)
52.4% (981)
-5.2%
Power Play
54.7% (139)
50.7% (304)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
36.4% (33)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Celebrini is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Celebrini shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Suzuki
Home
47.6% (553)
53.2% (645)
Away
49.0% (498)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Celebrini
Suzuki
P1
46.6%
48.9%
P2
46.4%
51.5%
P3
51.8%
54.9%
OT
41.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 12:33 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:52 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |