Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.9% vs Greig 50.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 68.8%
Defensive zone
Greig 78.7%
Neutral zone
Greig 51.0%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Celebrini
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Celebrini
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
0
Celebrini
Greig
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Celebrini
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (924)
51.5% (336)
-3.3%
Power Play
52.8% (108)
66.7% (24)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
43.2% (81)
+12.8%
On power play, Greig has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Celebrini is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (733).
Celebrini shoots left. Greig is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Greig
Home
47.8% (523)
50.2% (247)
Away
49.8% (534)
51.5% (194)
By Period
Celebrini
Greig
P1
47.8%
46.9%
P2
47.4%
58.8%
P3
51.1%
48.3%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.8%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |