Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.4% vs Greig 53.8% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 78.0%
Defensive zone
Greig 62.2%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 53.7%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Celebrini
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Celebrini
Greig
Last 5: Celebrini 2-3 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
0
Celebrini
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
1
2
Celebrini
Greig
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Celebrini
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (901)
53.6% (280)
-6.4%
Power Play
54.7% (139)
61.3% (31)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
56.5% (69)
-2.0%
On power play, Greig has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Celebrini shoots left. Greig is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Greig
Home
47.6% (553)
56.2% (185)
Away
49.0% (498)
53.3% (195)
By Period
Celebrini
Greig
P1
46.6%
52.8%
P2
46.4%
51.6%
P3
51.8%
59.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:22 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |