Macklin Celebrini vs Robert Thomas
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.9% vs Thomas 51.7% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 56.9%
Defensive zone
Thomas 61.0%
Neutral zone
Thomas 59.9%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Celebrini
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Celebrini
Thomas
Last 5: Celebrini 3-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
2
0
Celebrini
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Celebrini
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (924)
50.1% (615)
-1.9%
Power Play
52.8% (108)
62.2% (98)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
52.6% (114)
+3.4%
On power play, Thomas has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Celebrini is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Celebrini shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Thomas
Home
47.8% (523)
51.9% (374)
Away
49.8% (534)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Celebrini
Thomas
P1
47.8%
49.2%
P2
47.4%
55.3%
P3
51.1%
50.6%
OT
57.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
45.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |