Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.9% vs Pinto 50.7% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Celebrini leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 68.8%
Defensive zone
Pinto 81.8%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 50.3%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Celebrini
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Celebrini
Pinto
Last 10: Celebrini 6-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
2
0
Celebrini
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Celebrini
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
5
2
Celebrini
Pinto
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (924)
50.2% (520)
-2.0%
Power Play
52.8% (108)
68.0% (25)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
49.4% (89)
+6.6%
On power play, Pinto has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Celebrini is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Celebrini shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Pinto
Home
47.8% (523)
48.8% (301)
Away
49.8% (534)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Celebrini
Pinto
P1
47.8%
51.2%
P2
47.4%
48.9%
P3
51.1%
53.3%
OT
57.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
45.2%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.8%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:14 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:47 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |