Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Celebrini wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.4% vs Pinto 50.1% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 64.7%
Defensive zone
Pinto 84.3%
Neutral zone
Pinto 66.2%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Celebrini
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Celebrini
Pinto
Last 9: Celebrini 7-2 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
5
0
Celebrini
Pinto
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Celebrini
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
0
Celebrini
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (901)
50.4% (779)
-3.2%
Power Play
54.7% (139)
55.2% (29)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
44.9% (78)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Celebrini is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Celebrini shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Pinto
Home
47.6% (553)
52.4% (454)
Away
49.0% (498)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Celebrini
Pinto
P1
46.6%
48.1%
P2
46.4%
52.9%
P3
51.8%
49.3%
OT
41.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |