Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Savard on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Savard 50.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Savard 57.3%
Defensive zone
Savard 52.7%
Neutral zone
Savard 52.1%
Result
Marc Savard favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Savard
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Savard
Stastny
Last 5: Savard 2-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Savard
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Savard
2
1
Savard
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Savard
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (253)
54.6% (10,616)
-4.8%
Power Play
54.4% (68)
59.1% (1,994)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
52.9% (1,119)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Savard is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Savard shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Savard
Stastny
Home
54.1% (172)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
47.4% (156)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Savard
Stastny
P1
57.7%
56.3%
P2
48.8%
55.4%
P3
46.2%
53.5%
OT
40.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Savard
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2011 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Marc Savard |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 1 | 02:00 | Neutral | Marc Savard |