Scouting Report
Marc Savard holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Savard 50.7% vs Lorentz 48.6% (+2.4%)
Offensive zone
Savard 55.3%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 56.1%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 51.7%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Savard
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Savard
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (253)
48.9% (1,118)
+0.9%
Power Play
54.4% (68)
50.0% (26)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
41.9% (86)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Lorentz has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Savard is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Savard shoots left. Lorentz is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Savard
Lorentz
Home
54.1% (172)
50.8% (606)
Away
47.4% (156)
46.2% (624)
By Period
Savard
Lorentz
P1
57.7%
53.0%
P2
48.8%
46.8%
P3
46.2%
46.1%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Savard
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.9%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.5%